Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis (Oct. 16): Trending Sideways with Negative Sentiment

Analysis
Bitcoin digital coins

When looking at the chart below we see that Bitcoin(BTC)trade is currently trading at $8,014. It is also seen that the price is still trading between the channels, with the upper limit at $8,436 acting as resistance and the lower limit is at $7,927 acting as support.

Currently the cryptocurrency’s price is around its support level. Therefore, long positions can be taken around the support level for swing trading, keeping the stop-loss near the support, as the price is expected to trade between the channels for some time.

Bitcoin Graph October 16

Dow Theory

According to Dow Theory, the BTC price is in the accumulation phase. It is a period when investors are actively buying against the general opinion of the market. During this phase, the price does not change much because these investors are in the minority, demanding quantity that the market at large is supplying. It is followed by the participation phase.

Bitcoin Dow Theory October 16

Bollinger Bands

The Bitcoin price is moving between the channels with the lower channel limit acting as support and the middle average line acting as resistance. It is seen that the channel is expanding with a negative momentum.

This indicates increased volatility with a negative sentiment, so the price may fall further. For taking a long position around the support level for swing trading it is suggested to stick to the stop-loss.

Bitcoin Bollinger Bands October 16

Moving Average

When taking 9 period moving averages (blue) with 21 period moving averages (red), a bearish crossover is seen with the price trading below the 9 and 21 period moving average. It is suggested to wait until the BTC price closes above the moving averages before taking a long position.

Bitcoin Moving Average October 16

Conclusion

When looking at the chart we can see that Bitcoin is currently trading at $8,014. The resistance is around $8,436 and support is around $7,927. The price is expected to trade between the channels for some time so swing trading can be done using the above mentioned levels.

The current overall trend is sideways with some negative sentiment, which can drag the price lower. A day close below $7,900 can drag the price lower to $7,700. On the upward side, the largest cryptocurrency faces minor resistance at $8,100, and long positions should only be taken above this level. A day close above $8,400 can take the price all the way up to $8,700.

Pivot Points

Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 6783.4 7289.2 7803.8 8309.5 8824.1 9329.8 9844.4
Fibonacci 7289.2 7678.9 7919.7 8309.5 8699.3 8940.1 9329.8
Camarilla 8037.7 8131.2 8224.8 8309.5 8411.8 8505.4 8598.9
Woodie’s 6787.8 7291.4 7808.2 8311.7 8828.5 9332.0 9848.8

Technical Indicators

Name Value Action
RSI(14) 45.296 Neutral
STOCH(9,6) 24.943 Sell
STOCHRSI(14) 0.000 Oversold
MACD(12,26) 456.800 Buy
ADX(14) 31.696 Sell
Williams %R -94.363 Oversold
CCI(14) -166.9263 Sell
ATR(14) 1380.9217 Less Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) -1075.2829 Sell
Ultimate Oscillator 44.845 Sell
ROC -29.193 Sell
Bull/Bear Power(13) -1836.2574 Sell

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