Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis (Dec. 2): No Indication for a Breakout

Analysis
Bitcoin in the pocket

When looking at the chart below we can see that Bitcoin(BTC)trade is trading at $7,300. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is trading within the channel with $7,600 acting as resistance and as the channel upper limit, and $7,190 is acting as support and as the channel lower limit.

The lower limit is confirmed by the formation of a morning star pattern and the upper limit is confirmed by the formation of a piercing pattern.

Bitcoin graph December 2

Dow Theory

The Bitcoin price is currently appearing in the accumulation phase. This is the phase when informed and savvy investors are actively buying digital currency against the general opinion of the crypto market. During this phase, the BTC price does not change much because these investors are in the minority demanding supply that can be easily provided.

Bitcoin Dow Theory December 2

Bollinger Bands

The BTC price is moving between the channels with the middle average line acting as resistance and the lower limit acting as support. It can be observed that the channel is shrinking with a negative momentum, which indicates decreased volatility with downtrend sentiment.

Therefore, some correction is expected, and taking long positions is not suggested. Also, it shows indecision so the price is expected to keep on trading inside the channel at least in the short term.

Bitcoin Bollinger Bands December 2

Moving Average

When taking 9 period moving averages (blue) with 21 period moving averages (red), a bearish crossover is seen whilst the cryptocurrency price is trading below the 9 and 21 period moving averages.

This indicates a negative trend. It is suggested to wait until Bitcoin’s price starts trading above the moving average.

Bitcoin Moving Average December 2

Conclusion

Bitcoin(BTC)trade is currently trading at $7,300. $7,600 is acting as resistance and $7,190 is acting as support. When looking at all the indicators it is suggested not take long positions at this present price as it is expected to trade within the channel. Swing trading can be done using the above mentioned levels.

There is no indication for a positive breakout. A close below $7,100 can drag the price down to the $6,800 levels. A close above $7,600 can take the price up to $7,800.

Pivot Points

Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 5543.8 6081.6 6840.7 7378.5 8137.6 8675.4 9434.5
Fibonacci 6081.6 6577.0 6883.1 7378.5 7873.9 8180.0 8675.4
Camarilla 7243.2 7362.1 7481.0 7378.5 7718.8 7837.6 7956.5
Woodie’s 5654.6 6137.0 6951.5 7433.9 8248.4 8730.8 9545.3

Technical Indicators

Name Value Action
RSI(14) 42.082 Sell
STOCH(9,6) 38.658 Sell
STOCHRSI(14) 2.536 Oversold
MACD(12,26) 77.400 Buy
ADX(14) 33.886 Sell
Williams %R -82.653 Oversold
CCI(14) -123.3429 Sell
ATR(14) 1205.9060 Less Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) -801.8042 Sell
Ultimate Oscillator 45.408 Sell
ROC -23.444 Sell
Bull/Bear Power(13) -2309.6240 Sell

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